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Risk

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You are in the read-only mode. Close
00:04.9
00:07.9
You've just had an opportunity to consider possible income streams.
00:08.0
00:13.1
The next step is to consider how we assess what to go for, why and how.
00:13.2
00:19.0
To do this we consider the idea of risk. It is important to look at this in two ways.
00:19.1
00:23.9
Firstly, we consider what is the probability of success with this funding idea?
00:24.0
00:28.8
I.e. what is the risk to our organisation in pursuing this funding stream?
00:28.9
00:33.7
We consider this in terms of high, medium, and low probability of success
00:33.8
00:35.9
So for example
00:36.0
00:38.1
High probability, perhaps 80% chance of success
00:38.2
00:43.0
Could be where there is an existing relationship with the funder.
00:43.1
00:46.3
Where the funder has expressed a desire to support the organisation.
00:46.4
00:48.2
Or it could be a long-term supporter.
00:48.3
00:54.7
Medium probability, a 50% chance of success. Could mean you've had some success in the past
00:54.8
00:57.9
Positive discussions have happened with the funder
00:58.0
01:01.8
Or the competition could be limited and you are in a strong position
01:01.9
01:04.8
Low probability, perhaps 20%
01:04.9
01:10.0
Is where you may have had no previous relationship or it's a long time since the last donation.
01:10.1
01:14.4
Or the landscape could be very competitive.
01:14.5
01:19.9
Once you've decided on which pathways you're going to follow, you then apply the second assessment of risk.
01:20.0
01:27.8
This is where you delve deeper into the concept of risk and think about viability, probability, concerns, and impact
01:27.9
01:30.3
and assess your idea against each of these criteria
01:30.4
01:36.9
This assessment outlines the risk involved in pursuing each element of your fundraising strategy
01:37.0
01:39.1
In understanding the risk you can:
01:39.2
01:46.0
Take action to prevent risk, take action to avoid risk as it arises
01:46.1
01:52.2
Take action to overcome risks that are unavoidable, and review the project and procedures
01:52.3
01:57.1
and if necessary recognise when the risk is too great to overcome.
01:58.2
02:05.4
This table is a useful tool to start thinking about what risks could be, and what you need to do when you have identified them
02:05.5
02:06.8
So for example:
02:06.9
02:12.2
A grant giver for a project you wish to pursue will only accept partnership applications.
02:12.3
02:20.5
This could be high impact, but low likelihood, if you're working with a trusted partner with a shared level of responsibility and commitment to the project.
02:20.6
02:25.4
So you would need to just plan for the possibilities or for the impact of your application.
02:25.5
02:31.9
For example, by outlining the responsbilities of both organisations and having regular catch ups.
02:32.0
02:35.4
But it is very unlikely that you would need to take this any further.
02:35.5
02:39.4
In your second year on the project, you secure backing from a major donor.
02:39.5
02:46.8
And so the impact on your partnership for the grant application falling through moves to medium impact and remains at low likelihood
02:46.9
02:54.2
Because you have already got an alternative funding option in place to support any loss of income from an unfeasible bid.
02:54.3
03:00.5
So you only need to be aware of the risk, that it exists but little preparation needs to be undertaken.
03:00.6
03:06.7
In the third year of your project, however, your partner for the grant application undergoes internal re-organisation
03:06.8
03:13.9
And so you lose your contacts. It now looks unlikely that the organisation will want to go through with the partnership application
03:14.0
03:21.3
As their focus has changed. This moves the risk to high likelihood and medium impact, so it's time to take action.
03:21.4
03:30.4
This also outlines what is of key importance and that this should be a working document that is reviewed, and scheduled to be reviewed on a regular basis.
03:30.5
03:37.9
Situations change and it doesn't always take much for something to move from low to high likelihood.
03:38.0
03:43.5
Perhaps, you could print out this table and put it somewhere visible, to remind you to review and update your risk register.